← Stevenson games store championship
Fire SuitedTier 2
at Stevenson games store championship
decks
2
(10.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
3-3-2
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.3%
avg ELO -0.3 per match
expected value
48.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1406
· median 1406
· range 1301–1511
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1065
Q1 1147
Q3 1363
1656
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Astra Cleric | 15.8% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 42.5% | -7.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.0% | +6.3 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 67.1% | +16.4 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.5% | +5.6 |
| Water Exia | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.4% | -15.3 |
| Wind Allies | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.9% | -17.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Suited decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
